Premier League · 2022/23
2023-04-27 · 20:15
12.7934.4%
X3.6526.3%
22.4439.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Tottenham
LWLLWWWWWL
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM
Man United
DLWWDLWLLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.20
1.40
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.90
1.70
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.60
Against
6.30
9.40
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.20
1.40
Goals conceded
1.80
3.10
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Tottenham attack

1.70goals per match
Man United conceded1.80
Matchup

Man United attack

1.20goals per match
Tottenham conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.60
Corners against
6.30
9.40
Match total
10.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.90
Match total
3.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
24.10
Match total
20.10

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
5.20
On target
5.00
13%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches116
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.4%45.7%+11.3 pp
Draw26.3%25.9%-0.4 pp
Away39.3%28.4%-10.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.556.0%
Over 3.533.6%
BTTS62.1%

Historical average

1.591.36

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.9%
2-110.3%
2-09.5%
1-08.6%
3-16.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.395.32
Average total10.71

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=116.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.7%
Over 9.564.7%
Over 10.551.7%
Over 11.537.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches31
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT51.6%34.8%–68.0% CI
Draw FT35.5%21.1%–53.1% CI
Away FT12.9%5.1%–28.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.77

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.6%
2+ goals48.4%
3+ goals22.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home71.0%
Away41.9%