Premier League · 2022/23
2023-04-27 · 19:45
12.3041.7%
X3.4327.9%
23.1530.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Southampton
LLLLLWLDLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Bournemouth
LLLLLWLLWW
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.00
2.20
Conceded
2.00
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.20
2.10
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.20
Against
8.90
7.90
Total
12.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.00
2.20
Goals conceded
2.00
3.00
Total goals
3.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Southampton attack

0.80goals per match
Bournemouth conceded2.00
Matchup

Bournemouth attack

1.00goals per match
Southampton conceded2.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
1.50
2H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.20
Corners against
8.90
7.90
Match total
12.70
30%3/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.20
Match total
3.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
9.60N=10
22.40
Match total
19.60

Shots

11.50N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
3.40
On target
3.90
7%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches774
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.7%41.3%-0.3 pp
Draw27.9%29.3%+1.4 pp
Away30.4%29.3%-1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.526.4%
BTTS52.7%

Historical average

1.431.16

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.7%
1-09.9%
2-18.7%
0-08.5%
0-17.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.474.50
Average total9.97

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=774.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.5%
Over 9.554.1%
Over 10.540.8%
Over 11.529.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches239
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT32.2%26.6%–38.4% CI
Draw FT41.4%35.4%–47.8% CI
Away FT26.4%21.2%–32.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.4%
2+ goals37.2%
3+ goals13.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.9%
Away43.9%