Premier League · 2022/23
2023-04-27 · 19:45
14.8419.8%
X3.7025.9%
21.7754.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Everton
LLLLWWLWDL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Newcastle
WWDDDLWWWL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.70
1.60
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.40
1.60
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
5.70N=10
4.00
Against
5.60
9.10
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.70
1.60
Goals conceded
1.00
2.40
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Everton attack

0.80goals per match
Newcastle conceded1.00
Matchup

Newcastle attack

1.70goals per match
Everton conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.90
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.60
9.10
Match total
11.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.80
Match total
3.70
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.70N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
21.10
Match total
21.90

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
5.00
On target
4.40
6%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches127
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.8%23.6%+3.8 pp
Draw25.9%26.0%+0.0 pp
Away54.2%50.4%-3.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.538.6%
Over 3.518.9%
BTTS48.8%

Historical average

0.871.48

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.3%
0-115.0%
0-213.4%
2-17.9%
1-07.9%

Comparable corner averages

3.835.39
Average total9.22

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=127.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.7%
Over 9.544.1%
Over 10.531.5%
Over 11.523.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches42
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.2%15.3%–41.1% CI
Draw FT31.0%19.1%–46.0% CI
Away FT42.9%29.1%–57.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.0%
2+ goals38.1%
3+ goals11.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.9%
Away59.5%