Premier League · 2022/23
2023-04-26 · 20:00
11.5661.7%
X4.4921.4%
25.7016.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man City
WWLDWWWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Arsenal
WWWWLWWWDD
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
2.10
1.00
Conceded
0.90
80%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.60
1.70
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.50N=10
For
5.30N=10
2.70
Against
4.60
10.20
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
2.10
1.00
Goals conceded
0.90
3.60
Total goals
3.00
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Man City attack

2.60goals per match
Arsenal conceded0.90
Matchup

Arsenal attack

2.10goals per match
Man City conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
1.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.50N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
2.70
Corners against
4.60
10.20
Match total
9.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.00
Match total
4.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.70N=10
Committed
9.40N=10
21.20
Match total
21.40

Shots

15.70N=10
Shots
13.60N=10
5.50
On target
4.50
17%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches171
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.7%66.7%+5.0 pp
Draw21.4%17.0%-4.5 pp
Away16.9%16.4%-0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.5%
Over 2.563.2%
Over 3.537.4%
BTTS55.6%

Historical average

2.190.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.9%
1-011.1%
1-110.5%
4-08.2%
2-07.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.413.83
Average total10.24

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=171.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.5%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.545.0%
Over 11.534.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches50
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.0%38.5%–65.2% CI
Draw FT36.0%24.1%–49.9% CI
Away FT12.0%5.6%–23.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.74

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.0%
2+ goals56.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.0%
Away52.0%