Premier League · 2022/23
2023-04-26 · 19:45
11.7156.2%
X3.8924.7%
25.0219.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chelsea
WLWDLWDLDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Brentford
DWWDDLWDLL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.20
0.80
Conceded
1.10
20%
Over 2.5
30%
20%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.40
0.90
2H goals
0.90
60%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.50
Against
6.90
11.00
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.20
0.80
Goals conceded
1.10
1.50
Total goals
2.30
40%4/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Chelsea attack

0.70goals per match
Brentford conceded1.10
Matchup

Brentford attack

1.20goals per match
Chelsea conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
4.50
Corners against
6.90
11.00
Match total
9.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.40
Match total
3.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
24.30
Match total
21.10

Shots

14.70N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
4.30
On target
3.60
5%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches398
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.2%57.8%+1.6 pp
Draw24.7%23.6%-1.1 pp
Away19.1%18.6%-0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.528.4%
BTTS50.5%

Historical average

1.760.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.6%
2-011.3%
1-111.3%
2-19.5%
3-06.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.153.92
Average total10.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=398.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.6%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.542.2%
Over 11.533.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches118
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.5%38.7%–56.4% CI
Draw FT36.4%28.3%–45.4% CI
Away FT16.1%10.6%–23.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.41

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.0%
2+ goals44.1%
3+ goals12.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.7%
Away38.1%