Premier League · 2022/23
2023-04-26 · 19:30
16.0815.8%
X4.3622.0%
21.5462.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nott'm Forest
DWDWWDDLDL
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Brighton
LWWWDDDWLW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
2.10
1.10
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.80
1.10
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

2.20N=10
For
5.50N=10
4.90
Against
4.00
7.10
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
2.10
1.10
Goals conceded
1.50
2.30
Total goals
3.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Nott'm Forest attack

1.20goals per match
Brighton conceded1.50
Matchup

Brighton attack

2.10goals per match
Nott'm Forest conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.00
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.10
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
2.20N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
4.90
Corners against
4.00
7.10
Match total
9.50
30%3/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
0%0/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
1.30N=10
4.90
Match total
3.10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
24.00
Match total
21.40

Shots

9.90N=10
Shots
15.60N=10
3.60
On target
5.50
12%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches106
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home15.8%11.3%-4.4 pp
Draw22.0%17.9%-4.1 pp
Away62.2%70.8%+8.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.557.5%
Over 3.530.2%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

0.752.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-217.9%
0-212.3%
0-110.4%
1-37.5%
0-36.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.145.96
Average total10.10

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=106.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.0%
Over 9.559.4%
Over 10.544.3%
Over 11.533.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches33
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT12.1%4.8%–27.3% CI
Draw FT36.4%22.2%–53.4% CI
Away FT51.5%35.2%–67.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.52

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.8%
2+ goals48.5%
3+ goals21.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home39.4%
Away66.7%