Premier League · 2022/23
2023-04-25 · 19:45
11.8053.4%
X3.8724.9%
24.4321.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Aston Villa
WLDWLLWWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Fulham
WLWWLDWLLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.50
1.40
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
4.00N=10
6.20
Against
5.50
10.40
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.50
1.40
Goals conceded
1.10
3.40
Total goals
2.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

2.00goals per match
Fulham conceded1.10
Matchup

Fulham attack

1.50goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.70
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
6.20
Corners against
5.50
10.40
Match total
9.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
3.20N=10
3.80
Match total
4.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

9.60N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
21.60
Match total
23.40

Shots

12.00N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
4.70
On target
4.00
17%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches316
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.4%56.6%+3.2 pp
Draw24.9%23.1%-1.8 pp
Away21.7%20.3%-1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.527.5%
BTTS54.1%

Historical average

1.810.98

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.7%
2-111.1%
1-010.1%
2-09.8%
3-07.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.983.90
Average total9.89

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=316.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.6%
Over 9.550.3%
Over 10.537.3%
Over 11.528.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches91
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.9%33.2%–53.1% CI
Draw FT36.3%27.1%–46.5% CI
Away FT20.9%13.8%–30.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.58

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.2%
2+ goals49.5%
3+ goals20.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.8%
Away48.4%