Premier League · 2022/23
2023-04-23 · 14:00
11.8552.0%
X3.8125.2%
24.2222.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Newcastle
WWWWDWDLWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Tottenham
LWDWLWLLDD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.70
0.50
Conceded
1.90
30%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
2.60
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.10N=10
For
6.10N=10
3.40
Against
5.50
10.50
Total
11.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.70
0.50
Goals conceded
1.90
2.20
Total goals
3.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Newcastle attack

1.70goals per match
Tottenham conceded1.90
Matchup

Tottenham attack

1.70goals per match
Newcastle conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.20
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
3.40
Corners against
5.50
10.50
Match total
11.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.40
Match total
3.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.00N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
21.90
Match total
21.00

Shots

16.10N=10
Shots
13.80N=10
5.00
On target
4.40
11%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches203
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.0%44.8%-7.1 pp
Draw25.2%29.6%+4.3 pp
Away22.8%25.6%+2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.528.1%
BTTS55.7%

Historical average

1.561.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.8%
0-09.9%
1-09.4%
1-28.4%
2-17.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.164.38
Average total10.54

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=203.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.0%
Over 9.559.1%
Over 10.548.3%
Over 11.538.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches61
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.4%23.7%–47.0% CI
Draw FT52.5%40.2%–64.5% CI
Away FT13.1%6.8%–23.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.2%
2+ goals41.0%
3+ goals14.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.4%
Away36.1%