Premier League · 2022/23
2023-04-23 · 14:00
12.8333.8%
X3.2529.5%
22.6136.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bournemouth
LLWLDDLWWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
West Ham
DLLLDLDLLW
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
0.60
1.50
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
3.80N=10
For
5.20N=10
6.80
Against
6.20
10.60
Total
11.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.60
1.50
Goals conceded
1.60
2.60
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bournemouth attack
1.10goals per matchWest Ham conceded1.60Matchup
West Ham attack
0.60goals per matchBournemouth conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
6.80
Corners against
6.20
10.60
Match total
11.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.60
Match total
2.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.80N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
19.80
Match total
21.10
Shots
11.40N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
4.10
On target
3.10
10%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches655
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.8%32.4%-1.5 pp
Draw29.5%27.5%-2.0 pp
Away36.7%40.2%+3.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.522.6%
BTTS51.8%
Historical average
1.15–1.30
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.6%
0-113.0%
2-19.6%
1-08.1%
0-07.8%
Comparable corner averages
4.94–4.93
Average total9.87
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=655.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.551.8%
Over 10.538.3%
Over 11.527.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches210
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.6%22.9%–35.0% CI
Draw FT36.2%30.0%–42.9% CI
Away FT35.2%29.1%–41.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.36
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.7%
2+ goals39.0%
3+ goals16.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home44.8%
Away55.2%