Premier League · 2022/23
2023-04-22 · 15:00
11.1881.4%
X7.6412.6%
216.066.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Liverpool
WWLWWDWWWD
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Nott'm Forest
DLLWDLLLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
0.40
0.60
Conceded
2.20
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.10
1.20
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.60
Against
6.80
9.50
Total
11.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
0.40
0.60
Goals conceded
2.20
2.70
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Liverpool attack

2.10goals per match
Nott'm Forest conceded2.20
Matchup

Nott'm Forest attack

0.40goals per match
Liverpool conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.20
0.10
2H goals conceded
1.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.60
Corners against
6.80
9.50
Match total
11.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.40
Match total
3.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
21.00
Match total
21.30

Shots

17.70N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
6.00
On target
2.30
12%
Conversion
4%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches46
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home81.4%82.6%+1.2 pp
Draw12.6%10.9%-1.7 pp
Away6.0%6.5%+0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.591.3%
Over 2.571.7%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS43.5%

Historical average

2.930.67

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-015.2%
3-010.9%
4-210.9%
5-08.7%
3-18.7%

Comparable corner averages

8.182.98
Average total11.16

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=45.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.3%
Over 9.571.1%
Over 10.560.0%
Over 11.544.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT76.9%49.7%–91.8% CI
Draw FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Away FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.69

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.3%
2+ goals53.8%
3+ goals15.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home84.6%
Away23.1%