Premier League · 2022/23
2023-04-21 · 20:00
11.2080.1%
X7.1813.4%
214.726.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arsenal
WWDWDLWWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Southampton
WLLLWLWLDL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.80
Scored
0.60
1.10
Conceded
1.20
80%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.20
2.70
2H goals
0.60
90%
Goal in 2H
40%

Corners

7.20N=10
For
3.40N=10
3.40
Against
6.40
10.60
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.80
Goals scored
0.60
1.10
Goals conceded
1.20
3.90
Total goals
1.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Arsenal attack

2.80goals per match
Southampton conceded1.20
Matchup

Southampton attack

0.60goals per match
Arsenal conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
2.00
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
40%4/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.20N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
3.40
Corners against
6.40
10.60
Match total
9.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.70N=10
For
2.60N=10
2.80
Match total
3.80
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.00N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
20.70
Match total
23.80

Shots

18.90N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
5.70
On target
4.00
15%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches72
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home80.1%80.6%+0.5 pp
Draw13.4%13.9%+0.5 pp
Away6.5%5.6%-1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.561.1%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS41.7%

Historical average

2.500.60

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-013.9%
2-112.5%
2-011.1%
1-011.1%
1-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

7.652.72
Average total10.38

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=72.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.8%
Over 9.558.3%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.530.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.4%27.3%–68.3% CI
Draw FT31.6%15.4%–54.0% CI
Away FT21.1%8.5%–43.3% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.2%
2+ goals63.2%
3+ goals31.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.4%
Away47.4%