Premier League · 2022/23
2023-04-17 · 20:00
14.3522.0%
X4.2222.7%
21.7355.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leeds
LWLDDLWDWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Liverpool
WWLLLWDLLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.90
2.10
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.30
2.10
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
5.00N=10
3.80
Against
4.20
10.00
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.90
2.10
Goals conceded
1.60
3.60
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Leeds attack

1.50goals per match
Liverpool conceded1.60
Matchup

Liverpool attack

0.90goals per match
Leeds conceded2.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.20
1.30
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
3.80
Corners against
4.20
10.00
Match total
9.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.00
Match total
2.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
24.30
Match total
18.50

Shots

13.80N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
4.80
On target
4.90
11%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches83
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.0%25.3%+3.3 pp
Draw22.7%20.5%-2.2 pp
Away55.3%54.2%-1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.561.4%
Over 3.531.3%
BTTS56.6%

Historical average

1.161.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-214.5%
1-19.6%
0-18.4%
1-07.2%
2-17.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.115.84
Average total9.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=83.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.4%
Over 9.549.4%
Over 10.538.6%
Over 11.527.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI
Draw FT21.4%7.6%–47.6% CI
Away FT50.0%26.8%–73.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.57

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals28.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home35.7%
Away64.3%