Premier League · 2022/23
2023-04-16 · 14:00
15.9216.2%
X4.2222.7%
21.5761.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
West Ham
WLLLWDWDWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Arsenal
DWWWWLWWWD
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
2.00
1.30
Conceded
0.80
30%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.40
1.00
2H goals
1.40
50%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.80N=10
For
5.50N=10
3.70
Against
4.80
10.50
Total
10.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
2.00
1.30
Goals conceded
0.80
2.60
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
West Ham attack
1.30goals per matchArsenal conceded0.80Matchup
Arsenal attack
2.00goals per matchWest Ham conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.10
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
3.70
Corners against
4.80
10.50
Match total
10.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.00N=10
For
1.80N=10
1.90
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.20N=10
Committed
9.40N=10
17.40
Match total
21.40
Shots
13.80N=10
Shots
13.70N=10
3.80
On target
4.30
9%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches102
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.2%7.8%-8.4 pp
Draw22.7%23.5%+0.8 pp
Away61.1%68.6%+7.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.554.9%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS53.9%
Historical average
0.76–1.94
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-116.7%
1-215.7%
1-19.8%
0-28.8%
1-38.8%
Comparable corner averages
3.94–6.07
Average total10.01
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=102.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.6%
Over 9.558.8%
Over 10.541.2%
Over 11.532.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches37
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT5.4%1.5%–17.7% CI
Draw FT32.4%19.6%–48.5% CI
Away FT62.2%46.1%–75.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.46
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal83.8%
2+ goals40.5%
3+ goals16.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home32.4%
Away78.4%