Premier League · 2022/23
2023-04-16 · 14:00
15.9216.2%
X4.2222.7%
21.5761.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

West Ham
WLLLWDWDWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Arsenal
DWWWWLWWWD
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
2.00
1.30
Conceded
0.80
30%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.40
1.00
2H goals
1.40
50%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
5.50N=10
3.70
Against
4.80
10.50
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
2.00
1.30
Goals conceded
0.80
2.60
Total goals
2.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

West Ham attack

1.30goals per match
Arsenal conceded0.80
Matchup

Arsenal attack

2.00goals per match
West Ham conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.10
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
3.70
Corners against
4.80
10.50
Match total
10.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
1.80N=10
1.90
Match total
4.50
10%1/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.20N=10
Committed
9.40N=10
17.40
Match total
21.40

Shots

13.80N=10
Shots
13.70N=10
3.80
On target
4.30
9%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches102
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.2%7.8%-8.4 pp
Draw22.7%23.5%+0.8 pp
Away61.1%68.6%+7.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.554.9%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS53.9%

Historical average

0.761.94

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-116.7%
1-215.7%
1-19.8%
0-28.8%
1-38.8%

Comparable corner averages

3.946.07
Average total10.01

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=102.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.6%
Over 9.558.8%
Over 10.541.2%
Over 11.532.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches37
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT5.4%1.5%–17.7% CI
Draw FT32.4%19.6%–48.5% CI
Away FT62.2%46.1%–75.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.46

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.8%
2+ goals40.5%
3+ goals16.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home32.4%
Away78.4%