Premier League · 2022/23
2023-04-15 · 17:30
11.1683.1%
X8.4911.4%
217.325.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Man City
WWWLDWWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Leicester
WWWLLWLLDL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
2.70
Scored
1.50
0.90
Conceded
1.30
80%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.80
1H goals
1.50
1.80
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
7.80N=10
For
3.50N=10
2.60
Against
6.90
10.40
Total
10.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
1.50
0.90
Goals conceded
1.30
3.60
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Man City attack
2.70goals per matchLeicester conceded1.30Matchup
Leicester attack
1.50goals per matchMan City conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.80
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.40
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.80N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
2.60
Corners against
6.90
10.40
Match total
10.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.90
Match total
3.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.30N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
20.80
Match total
21.00
Shots
16.60N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
5.90
On target
3.20
16%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches59
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home83.1%91.5%+8.4 pp
Draw11.4%5.1%-6.3 pp
Away5.6%3.4%-2.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.593.2%
Over 2.576.3%
Over 3.555.9%
BTTS47.5%
Historical average
3.22–0.71
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-015.3%
4-013.6%
3-010.2%
3-16.8%
2-16.8%
Comparable corner averages
7.73–2.75
Average total10.47
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=59.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.1%
Over 9.555.9%
Over 10.545.8%
Over 11.532.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT100.0%72.2%–100.0% CI
Draw FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI
Remaining goals
2.20
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals70.0%
3+ goals40.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home100.0%
Away10.0%