Premier League · 2022/23
2023-04-15 · 17:30
11.1683.1%
X8.4911.4%
217.325.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man City
WWWLDWWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Leicester
WWWLLWLLDL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.70
Scored
1.50
0.90
Conceded
1.30
80%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.50
1.80
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.80N=10
For
3.50N=10
2.60
Against
6.90
10.40
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
1.50
0.90
Goals conceded
1.30
3.60
Total goals
2.80
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Man City attack

2.70goals per match
Leicester conceded1.30
Matchup

Leicester attack

1.50goals per match
Man City conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.80
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.80N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
2.60
Corners against
6.90
10.40
Match total
10.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.90
Match total
3.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

9.30N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
20.80
Match total
21.00

Shots

16.60N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
5.90
On target
3.20
16%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches59
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home83.1%91.5%+8.4 pp
Draw11.4%5.1%-6.3 pp
Away5.6%3.4%-2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.593.2%
Over 2.576.3%
Over 3.555.9%
BTTS47.5%

Historical average

3.220.71

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-015.3%
4-013.6%
3-010.2%
3-16.8%
2-16.8%

Comparable corner averages

7.732.75
Average total10.47

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=59.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.1%
Over 9.555.9%
Over 10.545.8%
Over 11.532.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT100.0%72.2%–100.0% CI
Draw FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI

Remaining goals

2.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals70.0%
3+ goals40.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home100.0%
Away10.0%