Premier League · 2022/23
2023-04-15 · 15:00
12.8234.1%
X3.2030.0%
22.6835.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Southampton
DLLLLLWLDL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Crystal Palace
WLWLLDLLLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.20
2.10
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.10
2.00
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.40
Against
3.30
8.40
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.20
2.10
Goals conceded
1.30
3.00
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Southampton attack

0.90goals per match
Crystal Palace conceded1.30
Matchup

Crystal Palace attack

1.20goals per match
Southampton conceded2.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.40
Corners against
3.30
8.40
Match total
8.40
40%4/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.10
Match total
3.90
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
22.40
Match total
23.30

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
3.30
On target
3.90
8%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches600
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.1%32.7%-1.4 pp
Draw30.0%32.5%+2.5 pp
Away35.9%34.8%-1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.520.7%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

1.121.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.7%
0-111.7%
0-011.0%
2-19.5%
1-09.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.714.85
Average total9.56

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=600.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.5%
Over 9.548.5%
Over 10.536.0%
Over 11.526.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches218
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.0%22.4%–34.3% CI
Draw FT44.5%38.1%–51.1% CI
Away FT27.5%22.0%–33.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.15

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.7%
2+ goals33.5%
3+ goals10.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.5%
Away47.7%