Premier League · 2022/23
2023-04-15 · 15:00
12.8234.1%
X3.2030.0%
22.6835.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Southampton
DLLLLLWLDL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Crystal Palace
WLWLLDLLLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
1.20
2.10
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.10
2.00
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.40
Against
3.30
8.40
Total
8.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.20
2.10
Goals conceded
1.30
3.00
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Southampton attack
0.90goals per matchCrystal Palace conceded1.30Matchup
Crystal Palace attack
1.20goals per matchSouthampton conceded2.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
1.30
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.40
Corners against
3.30
8.40
Match total
8.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.10
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.70N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
22.40
Match total
23.30
Shots
11.40N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
3.30
On target
3.90
8%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches600
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.1%32.7%-1.4 pp
Draw30.0%32.5%+2.5 pp
Away35.9%34.8%-1.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.520.7%
BTTS50.0%
Historical average
1.12–1.18
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.7%
0-111.7%
0-011.0%
2-19.5%
1-09.5%
Comparable corner averages
4.71–4.85
Average total9.56
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=600.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.5%
Over 9.548.5%
Over 10.536.0%
Over 11.526.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches218
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.0%22.4%–34.3% CI
Draw FT44.5%38.1%–51.1% CI
Away FT27.5%22.0%–33.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.15
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal69.7%
2+ goals33.5%
3+ goals10.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home44.5%
Away47.7%