Premier League · 2022/23
2023-04-15 · 15:00
12.6736.0%
X3.4228.1%
22.6835.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chelsea
LWLWDLWDLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Brighton
LLWWWDDDWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
1.90
0.70
Conceded
1.60
10%
Over 2.5
70%
10%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.40
1H goals
1.70
0.90
2H goals
1.80
60%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
5.80N=10
4.30
Against
4.00
11.00
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.90
0.70
Goals conceded
1.60
1.30
Total goals
3.50
30%3/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
10%1/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Chelsea attack

0.60goals per match
Brighton conceded1.60
Matchup

Brighton attack

1.90goals per match
Chelsea conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.90
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
30%3/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
1.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
4.30
Corners against
4.00
11.00
Match total
9.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.20N=10
4.70
Match total
3.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
25.40
Match total
21.90

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
15.10N=10
4.20
On target
5.20
4%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches500
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.0%35.4%-0.6 pp
Draw28.1%25.2%-2.9 pp
Away35.9%39.4%+3.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.526.4%
BTTS54.8%

Historical average

1.301.36

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.4%
1-210.6%
0-110.6%
1-09.6%
2-17.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.114.88
Average total9.99

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=500.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.6%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.542.8%
Over 11.532.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches150
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.7%29.4%–44.6% CI
Draw FT32.0%25.1%–39.8% CI
Away FT31.3%24.5%–39.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.53

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.0%
2+ goals43.3%
3+ goals18.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.7%
Away55.3%