Premier League · 2022/23
2023-04-09 · 16:30
12.7934.3%
X3.6925.9%
22.4139.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Liverpool
DWWLWWDWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Arsenal
WDWWWWLWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.90
0.70
Conceded
0.60
50%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
5.40N=10
3.40
Against
4.90
9.70
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.90
0.70
Goals conceded
0.60
2.90
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Liverpool attack

2.20goals per match
Arsenal conceded0.60
Matchup

Arsenal attack

1.90goals per match
Liverpool conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
1.00
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.90
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.90
9.70
Match total
10.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.60N=10
2.80
Match total
3.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.30N=10
Committed
9.40N=10
21.00
Match total
21.30

Shots

17.10N=10
Shots
13.70N=10
6.10
On target
4.20
13%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches59
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.3%37.3%+3.0 pp
Draw25.9%32.2%+6.3 pp
Away39.7%30.5%-9.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.564.4%
Over 3.535.6%
BTTS69.5%

Historical average

1.561.41

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.6%
1-211.9%
2-211.9%
1-111.9%
0-16.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.594.46
Average total9.05

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=59.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.552.5%
Over 9.545.8%
Over 10.532.2%
Over 11.525.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI
Draw FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI
Away FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.91

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals63.6%
3+ goals27.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.5%
Away72.7%