Premier League · 2022/23
2023-04-09 · 14:00
12.1145.3%
X3.4128.0%
23.5926.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Leeds
LLWLDDLWDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Crystal Palace
LWLWLLDLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
0.70
1.70
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.00
1.70
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.60N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.70
Against
3.40
10.30
Total
8.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.70
1.70
Goals conceded
1.50
3.10
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Leeds attack
1.40goals per matchCrystal Palace conceded1.50Matchup
Crystal Palace attack
0.70goals per matchLeeds conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.70
Corners against
3.40
10.30
Match total
8.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.80
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.80N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
24.50
Match total
24.40
Shots
14.30N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
4.50
On target
3.30
10%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches454
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.3%43.2%-2.1 pp
Draw28.0%30.2%+2.1 pp
Away26.6%26.7%+0.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.522.7%
BTTS52.6%
Historical average
1.38–1.07
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.4%
1-011.2%
2-110.4%
0-09.0%
0-18.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.28–4.30
Average total9.58
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=454.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.2%
Over 9.549.1%
Over 10.537.7%
Over 11.527.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches161
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.8%27.9%–42.4% CI
Draw FT42.2%34.9%–50.0% CI
Away FT23.0%17.2%–30.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.30
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.5%
2+ goals39.8%
3+ goals11.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.7%
Away45.3%