Premier League · 2022/23
2023-04-09 · 14:00
12.1145.3%
X3.4128.0%
23.5926.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leeds
LLWLDDLWDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Crystal Palace
LWLWLLDLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.70
1.70
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.00
1.70
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.70
Against
3.40
10.30
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.70
1.70
Goals conceded
1.50
3.10
Total goals
2.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Leeds attack

1.40goals per match
Crystal Palace conceded1.50
Matchup

Crystal Palace attack

0.70goals per match
Leeds conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.70
Corners against
3.40
10.30
Match total
8.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.80
Match total
4.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
24.50
Match total
24.40

Shots

14.30N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
4.50
On target
3.30
10%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches454
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.3%43.2%-2.1 pp
Draw28.0%30.2%+2.1 pp
Away26.6%26.7%+0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.522.7%
BTTS52.6%

Historical average

1.381.07

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.4%
1-011.2%
2-110.4%
0-09.0%
0-18.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.284.30
Average total9.58

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=454.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.2%
Over 9.549.1%
Over 10.537.7%
Over 11.527.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches161
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.8%27.9%–42.4% CI
Draw FT42.2%34.9%–50.0% CI
Away FT23.0%17.2%–30.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.5%
2+ goals39.8%
3+ goals11.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.7%
Away45.3%