Premier League · 2022/23
2023-04-08 · 15:00
14.1423.2%
X3.4727.6%
21.9549.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Wolves
WLLLLWWLWL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM
Chelsea
WDLLDLDDLW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.90
1.50
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
30%
20%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
1.00
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.90
Against
4.80
10.60
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.90
1.50
Goals conceded
1.20
2.50
Total goals
2.10
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Wolves attack

1.00goals per match
Chelsea conceded1.20
Matchup

Chelsea attack

0.90goals per match
Wolves conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.90
Corners against
4.80
10.60
Match total
9.00
90%9/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.80
Match total
3.60
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
22.00
Match total
22.80

Shots

13.40N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
4.40
On target
4.40
7%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches179
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.2%25.7%+2.5 pp
Draw27.6%27.4%-0.3 pp
Away49.2%46.9%-2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.2%
Over 2.540.8%
Over 3.520.1%
BTTS43.0%

Historical average

0.941.39

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-112.3%
1-111.7%
0-011.7%
1-011.7%
1-210.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.175.53
Average total9.70

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=179.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.0%
Over 9.548.6%
Over 10.535.8%
Over 11.527.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches71
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.5%14.4%–33.5% CI
Draw FT42.3%31.5%–53.8% CI
Away FT35.2%25.1%–46.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.4%
2+ goals32.4%
3+ goals11.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.8%
Away47.9%