Premier League · 2022/23
2023-04-08 · 15:00
13.5726.8%
X3.4627.6%
22.1045.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Brentford
WDDDWWWDWD
5W 5D 0L · 2.00 PPM
Newcastle
DWWWDDDLWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.70
0.80
Conceded
0.70
40%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.40
1.60
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
4.20N=10
For
6.10N=10
5.30
Against
5.30
9.50
Total
11.40
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.70
0.80
Goals conceded
0.70
2.60
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Brentford attack
1.80goals per matchNewcastle conceded0.70Matchup
Newcastle attack
1.70goals per matchBrentford conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.00
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
5.30
Corners against
5.30
9.50
Match total
11.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.30
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.20N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
20.30
Match total
20.80
Shots
10.90N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
4.40
On target
4.50
17%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches256
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.8%23.4%-3.4 pp
Draw27.6%25.0%-2.6 pp
Away45.6%51.6%+6.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.525.8%
BTTS52.7%
Historical average
1.03–1.54
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-113.3%
1-211.7%
1-110.2%
0-08.6%
1-08.2%
Comparable corner averages
4.62–4.92
Average total9.54
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=256.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.8%
Over 9.549.2%
Over 10.538.7%
Over 11.527.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches73
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.2%11.8%–29.7% CI
Draw FT42.5%31.8%–53.9% CI
Away FT38.4%28.1%–49.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.38
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal69.9%
2+ goals42.5%
3+ goals17.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home38.4%
Away57.5%