Premier League · 2022/23
2023-04-08 · 15:00
13.5726.8%
X3.4627.6%
22.1045.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brentford
WDDDWWWDWD
5W 5D 0L · 2.00 PPM
Newcastle
DWWWDDDLWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.70
0.80
Conceded
0.70
40%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.40
1.60
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
6.10N=10
5.30
Against
5.30
9.50
Total
11.40
Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.70
0.80
Goals conceded
0.70
2.60
Total goals
2.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Brentford attack

1.80goals per match
Newcastle conceded0.70
Matchup

Newcastle attack

1.70goals per match
Brentford conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.00
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
5.30
Corners against
5.30
9.50
Match total
11.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.30
Match total
4.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

9.20N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
20.30
Match total
20.80

Shots

10.90N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
4.40
On target
4.50
17%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches256
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.8%23.4%-3.4 pp
Draw27.6%25.0%-2.6 pp
Away45.6%51.6%+6.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.525.8%
BTTS52.7%

Historical average

1.031.54

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-113.3%
1-211.7%
1-110.2%
0-08.6%
1-08.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.624.92
Average total9.54

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=256.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.8%
Over 9.549.2%
Over 10.538.7%
Over 11.527.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches73
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.2%11.8%–29.7% CI
Draw FT42.5%31.8%–53.9% CI
Away FT38.4%28.1%–49.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.9%
2+ goals42.5%
3+ goals17.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.4%
Away57.5%