Premier League · 2022/23
2023-04-08 · 15:00
11.6259.2%
X4.0923.5%
25.5517.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Aston Villa
LWWLDWLLWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Nott'm Forest
LDLLWDLLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
0.40
1.60
Conceded
2.10
70%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

2.10
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
4.80N=10
5.90
Against
7.10
10.70
Total
11.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.40
1.60
Goals conceded
2.10
3.50
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.90goals per match
Nott'm Forest conceded2.10
Matchup

Nott'm Forest attack

0.40goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.20
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
5.90
Corners against
7.10
10.70
Match total
11.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.30
Match total
3.00
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.20N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
21.20
Match total
21.90

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
5.60
On target
2.30
14%
Conversion
4%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches198
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.2%59.1%-0.2 pp
Draw23.5%24.7%+1.3 pp
Away17.3%16.2%-1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.531.8%
BTTS48.0%

Historical average

1.960.81

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-013.1%
1-112.6%
0-19.6%
1-09.1%
2-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.033.86
Average total9.89

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=198.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.551.5%
Over 10.540.9%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches58
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.8%32.7%–57.5% CI
Draw FT27.6%17.8%–40.2% CI
Away FT27.6%17.8%–40.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.64

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.2%
2+ goals51.7%
3+ goals20.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.3%
Away53.4%