Premier League · 2022/23
2023-04-04 · 20:00
12.2542.8%
X3.4627.8%
23.2829.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chelsea
DLWLWDLWDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Liverpool
LWWLLLWDLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
0.90
0.80
Conceded
1.70
10%
Over 2.5
60%
20%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.40
1H goals
1.30
1.10
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.00N=10
For
5.60N=10
4.20
Against
4.10
11.20
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded
1.70
1.50
Total goals
2.60
40%4/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Chelsea attack

0.70goals per match
Liverpool conceded1.70
Matchup

Liverpool attack

0.90goals per match
Chelsea conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.70
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
30%3/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.10
11.20
Match total
9.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.70
Match total
2.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
24.90
Match total
18.40

Shots

13.80N=10
Shots
13.20N=10
4.10
On target
5.20
5%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches592
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.8%42.7%-0.1 pp
Draw27.8%29.2%+1.4 pp
Away29.4%28.0%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.9%
BTTS52.2%

Historical average

1.491.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.3%
1-010.5%
2-18.4%
0-08.1%
0-17.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.704.34
Average total10.04

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=591.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.0%
Over 9.555.3%
Over 10.542.1%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches182
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT35.2%28.6%–42.3% CI
Draw FT39.6%32.7%–46.8% CI
Away FT25.3%19.5%–32.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.6%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals15.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.8%
Away44.0%