Premier League · 2022/23
2023-04-04 · 19:45
12.5837.3%
X3.4128.2%
22.7934.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leicester
WDWLLLDWLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Aston Villa
DLLWWWLWDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.20
1.20
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.20
0.70
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
2.90N=10
5.90
Against
7.00
9.80
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.20
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
2.50
Total goals
2.50
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Leicester attack

1.30goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.30
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.20goals per match
Leicester conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.40
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
5.90
Corners against
7.00
9.80
Match total
9.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.30
Match total
4.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
22.00
Match total
24.90

Shots

11.10N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
4.20
On target
3.20
12%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches494
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.3%37.7%+0.4 pp
Draw28.2%26.1%-2.1 pp
Away34.5%36.2%+1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.522.9%
BTTS53.8%

Historical average

1.301.24

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.0%
1-211.1%
1-010.3%
0-19.5%
2-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.154.56
Average total9.71

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=494.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.4%
Over 9.550.8%
Over 10.539.1%
Over 11.528.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches150
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT35.3%28.1%–43.3% CI
Draw FT34.7%27.5%–42.6% CI
Away FT30.0%23.2%–37.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.49

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals44.7%
3+ goals16.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.7%
Away52.0%