Premier League · 2022/23
2023-04-04 · 19:45
11.7355.7%
X3.8325.2%
25.0519.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leeds
DLLWLDDLWD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Nott'm Forest
LLDLLWDLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.30
1.60
Conceded
2.30
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.20
Against
6.60
9.90
Total
11.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.30
1.60
Goals conceded
2.30
2.80
Total goals
2.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Leeds attack

1.20goals per match
Nott'm Forest conceded2.30
Matchup

Nott'm Forest attack

0.30goals per match
Leeds conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.10
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.20
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.20
Corners against
6.60
9.90
Match total
11.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.80
Match total
3.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
25.60
Match total
22.00

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
4.00
On target
2.50
9%
Conversion
3%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches408
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.7%58.6%+2.8 pp
Draw25.2%23.8%-1.4 pp
Away19.1%17.6%-1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.527.0%
BTTS47.8%

Historical average

1.730.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.0%
2-011.8%
1-110.8%
2-19.3%
0-07.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.163.95
Average total10.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=408.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.554.9%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.533.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches126
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.2%36.8%–53.9% CI
Draw FT38.9%30.8%–47.6% CI
Away FT15.9%10.5%–23.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.4%
2+ goals41.3%
3+ goals10.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.1%
Away35.7%