Premier League · 2022/23
2023-04-04 · 19:45
15.9416.2%
X4.2922.4%
21.5761.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bournemouth
WLLWLDDLWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Brighton
LDLLWWWDDD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
2.00
1.40
Conceded
1.90
50%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.70
1.20
2H goals
2.20
60%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
5.10N=10
6.50
Against
4.40
10.50
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
2.00
1.40
Goals conceded
1.90
2.70
Total goals
3.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Bournemouth attack

1.30goals per match
Brighton conceded1.90
Matchup

Brighton attack

2.00goals per match
Bournemouth conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.90
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.10
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
6.50
Corners against
4.40
10.50
Match total
9.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.70
Match total
3.00
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
20.60
Match total
21.50

Shots

11.00N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
4.20
On target
5.20
12%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches94
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.2%7.4%-8.8 pp
Draw22.4%21.3%-1.2 pp
Away61.3%71.3%+9.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.555.3%
Over 3.531.9%
BTTS51.1%

Historical average

0.702.01

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-217.0%
0-113.8%
0-210.6%
1-38.5%
1-18.5%

Comparable corner averages

3.716.15
Average total9.86

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=94.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.8%
Over 9.558.5%
Over 10.543.6%
Over 11.534.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches33
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT6.1%1.7%–19.6% CI
Draw FT36.4%22.2%–53.4% CI
Away FT57.6%40.8%–72.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.8%
2+ goals42.4%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.3%
Away72.7%