Premier League · 2022/23
2023-04-02 · 16:30
12.4139.8%
X3.4527.8%
22.9632.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Newcastle
DWWWWDWDLW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Man United
LWDLWWDLWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.50
0.60
Conceded
2.30
30%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.50
1.30
2H goals
2.30
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.20N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.10
Against
6.20
10.30
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.50
0.60
Goals conceded
2.30
2.20
Total goals
3.80
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Newcastle attack

1.60goals per match
Man United conceded2.30
Matchup

Man United attack

1.50goals per match
Newcastle conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.90
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.20N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.10
Corners against
6.20
10.30
Match total
9.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.80
Match total
3.70
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.20N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
22.00
Match total
19.50

Shots

15.90N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
5.10
On target
5.30
10%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches421
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.8%41.6%+1.8 pp
Draw27.8%29.0%+1.2 pp
Away32.4%29.5%-2.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.528.7%
BTTS55.8%

Historical average

1.521.20

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.3%
2-18.6%
1-08.3%
1-28.1%
0-17.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.524.61
Average total10.13

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=420.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.9%
Over 9.555.0%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.531.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches124
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.1%25.4%–41.7% CI
Draw FT41.9%33.6%–50.7% CI
Away FT25.0%18.2%–33.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.41

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.8%
2+ goals44.4%
3+ goals16.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.8%
Away50.0%