Premier League · 2022/23
2023-04-02 · 14:00
11.7654.6%
X3.7425.7%
24.8719.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
West Ham
WWWLLLWDWD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Southampton
LWLLLWLWLD
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
0.60
0.90
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.30
1.00
2H goals
0.80
60%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
6.10N=10
For
3.20N=10
3.60
Against
6.80
9.70
Total
10.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.60
0.90
Goals conceded
1.50
2.50
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
West Ham attack
1.60goals per matchSouthampton conceded1.50Matchup
Southampton attack
0.60goals per matchWest Ham conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.30
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
3.60
Corners against
6.80
9.70
Match total
10.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.10N=10
For
2.50N=10
2.20
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.80N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
16.00
Match total
22.90
Shots
15.40N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
4.70
On target
3.70
10%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches417
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.6%60.2%+5.6 pp
Draw25.7%21.8%-3.9 pp
Away19.7%18.0%-1.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.524.2%
BTTS47.7%
Historical average
1.71–0.83
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-015.3%
2-113.9%
2-010.3%
1-110.1%
0-07.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.85–3.94
Average total9.80
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=417.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.6%
Over 9.550.1%
Over 10.537.6%
Over 11.530.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches133
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT48.9%40.5%–57.3% CI
Draw FT36.8%29.1%–45.3% CI
Away FT14.3%9.3%–21.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.41
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.2%
2+ goals43.6%
3+ goals15.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home63.2%
Away37.6%