Premier League · 2022/23
2023-04-01 · 17:30
11.6857.2%
X3.8325.1%
25.4017.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chelsea
WDLWLWDLWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Aston Villa
DDLLWWWLWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.00
0.60
Conceded
1.30
20%
Over 2.5
40%
20%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.40
1H goals
1.10
1.20
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.20
Against
5.90
10.30
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.00
0.60
Goals conceded
1.30
1.60
Total goals
2.30
40%4/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Chelsea attack

1.00goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.30
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.00goals per match
Chelsea conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.80
30%3/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.90
10.30
Match total
9.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.30
Match total
4.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
23.50
Match total
25.40

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
4.00
On target
3.70
8%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches344
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.2%59.0%+1.9 pp
Draw25.1%21.2%-3.8 pp
Away17.8%19.8%+2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.527.0%
BTTS48.8%

Historical average

1.760.93

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.4%
2-111.3%
2-09.9%
1-19.6%
3-06.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.173.83
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=344.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.8%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.541.6%
Over 11.532.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches101
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.5%38.1%–57.2% CI
Draw FT34.7%26.1%–44.3% CI
Away FT17.8%11.6%–26.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.2%
2+ goals34.7%
3+ goals12.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.4%
Away35.6%