Premier League · 2022/23
2023-04-01 · 15:00
11.2974.4%
X5.8416.4%
210.489.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arsenal
WWWDWDLWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Leeds
LWLDLLDLLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

2.70
Scored
1.20
1.20
Conceded
1.60
80%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.10
2.50
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.20N=10
For
5.20N=10
3.40
Against
5.60
10.60
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
1.20
1.20
Goals conceded
1.60
3.90
Total goals
2.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Arsenal attack

2.70goals per match
Leeds conceded1.60
Matchup

Leeds attack

1.20goals per match
Arsenal conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.20N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
3.40
Corners against
5.60
10.60
Match total
10.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.80N=10
For
2.30N=10
2.90
Match total
4.30
20%2/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.00N=10
Committed
9.50N=10
20.50
Match total
20.70

Shots

18.70N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
5.80
On target
3.00
14%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches79
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home74.4%74.7%+0.3 pp
Draw16.4%13.9%-2.5 pp
Away9.2%11.4%+2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.558.2%
Over 3.529.1%
BTTS44.3%

Historical average

2.300.65

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.7%
2-012.7%
1-011.4%
3-011.4%
1-18.9%

Comparable corner averages

7.483.22
Average total10.70

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=79.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.578.5%
Over 9.563.3%
Over 10.550.6%
Over 11.535.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT70.0%48.1%–85.5% CI
Draw FT25.0%11.2%–46.9% CI
Away FT5.0%0.9%–23.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.95

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals30.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home85.0%
Away35.0%