Premier League · 2022/23
2023-04-01 · 12:30
11.6458.6%
X4.2022.9%
25.1918.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man City
WWWWLDWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Liverpool
LLWWLLLWDL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.90
Scored
1.00
1.10
Conceded
1.60
80%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

2.00
1H goals
1.40
2.00
2H goals
1.20
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.60N=10
For
5.80N=10
2.60
Against
3.80
10.20
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.90
Goals scored
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded
1.60
4.00
Total goals
2.60
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Man City attack

2.90goals per match
Liverpool conceded1.60
Matchup

Liverpool attack

1.00goals per match
Man City conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.60N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
2.60
Corners against
3.80
10.20
Match total
9.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.00
Match total
2.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

8.70N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
19.90
Match total
18.50

Shots

17.10N=10
Shots
13.60N=10
6.10
On target
5.40
17%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches156
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.6%60.3%+1.7 pp
Draw22.9%16.0%-6.9 pp
Away18.5%23.7%+5.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.0%
Over 2.559.6%
Over 3.531.4%
BTTS56.4%

Historical average

1.971.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-111.5%
1-110.9%
2-010.3%
1-09.0%
1-28.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.473.96
Average total10.44

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=156.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.9%
Over 9.557.1%
Over 10.546.2%
Over 11.537.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches34
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.1%31.5%–63.3% CI
Draw FT29.4%16.8%–46.2% CI
Away FT23.5%12.4%–40.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.71

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal91.2%
2+ goals55.9%
3+ goals23.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home73.5%
Away52.9%