Premier League · 2022/23
2023-03-19 · 14:00
11.2676.3%
X5.9316.2%
212.837.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arsenal
WWWWDWDLWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Crystal Palace
DLWLWLLDLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
0.60
1.20
Conceded
1.10
80%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.80
2.40
2H goals
0.90
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

7.20N=10
For
4.90N=10
3.20
Against
3.80
10.40
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
0.60
1.20
Goals conceded
1.10
3.80
Total goals
1.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
70%7/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Arsenal attack

2.60goals per match
Crystal Palace conceded1.10
Matchup

Crystal Palace attack

0.60goals per match
Arsenal conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.80
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.20N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
3.20
Corners against
3.80
10.40
Match total
8.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.10
Match total
4.50
20%2/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

9.20N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
20.70
Match total
25.70

Shots

19.40N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
6.20
On target
3.00
13%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches28
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home76.3%75.0%-1.3 pp
Draw16.2%17.9%+1.6 pp
Away7.5%7.1%-0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.592.9%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.521.4%
BTTS46.4%

Historical average

2.320.61

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-025.0%
1-117.9%
3-014.3%
2-110.7%
4-17.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.792.86
Average total9.64

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=28.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.7%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.539.3%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT84.6%57.8%–95.7% CI
Draw FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–22.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.92

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals69.2%
3+ goals15.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home100.0%
Away23.1%