Premier League · 2022/23
2023-03-18 · 17:30
11.4964.4%
X4.1823.0%
27.6212.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chelsea
WWDLWLWDLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Everton
WLLDLDLLLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.50
0.50
Conceded
1.80
20%
Over 2.5
40%
20%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.40
1H goals
1.20
1.10
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.30
Against
6.00
10.60
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.50
0.50
Goals conceded
1.80
1.50
Total goals
2.30
40%4/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Chelsea attack

1.00goals per match
Everton conceded1.80
Matchup

Everton attack

0.50goals per match
Chelsea conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.10
1H goals conceded
1.00
30%3/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
4.30
Corners against
6.00
10.60
Match total
9.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.50
Match total
4.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
23.20
Match total
21.60

Shots

11.90N=10
Shots
7.20N=10
3.60
On target
2.40
8%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches73
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.4%75.3%+10.9 pp
Draw23.0%19.2%-3.8 pp
Away12.6%5.5%-7.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.542.5%
Over 3.526.0%
BTTS43.8%

Historical average

1.950.59

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-021.9%
2-017.8%
1-111.0%
2-19.6%
3-16.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.793.70
Average total9.49

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=73.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.8%
Over 9.546.6%
Over 10.535.6%
Over 11.520.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT71.4%50.0%–86.2% CI
Draw FT28.6%13.8%–50.0% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–15.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.0%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals4.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home81.0%
Away9.5%