Premier League · 2022/23
2023-03-18 · 15:00
14.5621.1%
X3.6826.1%
21.8252.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Southampton
LDDLLLLLWL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Tottenham
LWLWDWLWLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.50
1.70
Conceded
1.80
40%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
5.90N=10
4.10
Against
5.30
9.20
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.50
1.70
Goals conceded
1.80
2.40
Total goals
3.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Southampton attack

0.70goals per match
Tottenham conceded1.80
Matchup

Tottenham attack

1.50goals per match
Southampton conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.90
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.30
9.20
Match total
11.20
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.30
Match total
3.30
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
21.80
Match total
20.80

Shots

12.30N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
3.90
On target
4.50
6%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches78
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.1%20.5%-0.6 pp
Draw26.1%25.6%-0.5 pp
Away52.8%53.8%+1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.4%
Over 2.533.3%
Over 3.517.9%
BTTS41.0%

Historical average

0.791.41

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-217.9%
1-014.1%
1-212.8%
1-111.5%
0-010.3%

Comparable corner averages

3.975.59
Average total9.56

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=78.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.5%
Over 9.543.6%
Over 10.532.1%
Over 11.521.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%12.7%–43.4% CI
Draw FT35.7%20.7%–54.2% CI
Away FT39.3%23.6%–57.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.07

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals28.6%
3+ goals7.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home39.3%
Away46.4%