Premier League · 2022/23
2023-03-18 · 15:00
11.9549.2%
X3.7025.9%
23.8524.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brentford
LWDDDWWWDW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Leicester
LLWWWLLWLL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.60
1.00
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.90
1.60
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.70N=10
For
3.30N=10
5.20
Against
6.40
8.90
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.60
1.00
Goals conceded
1.80
2.70
Total goals
3.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Brentford attack

1.70goals per match
Leicester conceded1.80
Matchup

Leicester attack

1.60goals per match
Brentford conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.10
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
5.20
Corners against
6.40
8.90
Match total
9.70
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.20
Match total
2.70
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

9.20N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
20.20
Match total
20.30

Shots

10.30N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
4.40
On target
4.10
17%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches423
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.2%46.3%-2.8 pp
Draw25.9%28.8%+2.9 pp
Away24.9%24.8%-0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.1%
BTTS52.0%

Historical average

1.571.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.5%
1-09.7%
0-09.0%
2-18.5%
0-18.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.804.43
Average total10.23

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=423.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.8%
Over 9.556.7%
Over 10.544.7%
Over 11.534.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches129
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.5%22.3%–37.8% CI
Draw FT45.0%36.6%–53.6% CI
Away FT25.6%18.8%–33.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.5%
2+ goals38.0%
3+ goals10.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.8%
Away45.7%