Premier League · 2022/23
2023-03-18 · 15:00
11.9549.2%
X3.7025.9%
23.8524.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Brentford
LWDDDWWWDW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Leicester
LLWWWLLWLL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
1.60
1.00
Conceded
1.80
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.90
1.60
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.70N=10
For
3.30N=10
5.20
Against
6.40
8.90
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.60
1.00
Goals conceded
1.80
2.70
Total goals
3.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Brentford attack
1.70goals per matchLeicester conceded1.80Matchup
Leicester attack
1.60goals per matchBrentford conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.10
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
5.20
Corners against
6.40
8.90
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.20
Match total
2.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.20N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
20.20
Match total
20.30
Shots
10.30N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
4.40
On target
4.10
17%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches423
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.2%46.3%-2.8 pp
Draw25.9%28.8%+2.9 pp
Away24.9%24.8%-0.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.1%
BTTS52.0%
Historical average
1.57–1.06
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.5%
1-09.7%
0-09.0%
2-18.5%
0-18.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.80–4.43
Average total10.23
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=423.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.8%
Over 9.556.7%
Over 10.544.7%
Over 11.534.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches129
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.5%22.3%–37.8% CI
Draw FT45.0%36.6%–53.6% CI
Away FT25.6%18.8%–33.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.22
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.5%
2+ goals38.0%
3+ goals10.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home48.8%
Away45.7%