Premier League · 2022/23
2023-03-18 · 15:00
11.7255.8%
X3.8524.9%
24.9919.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Aston Villa
WLWWLDWLLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Bournemouth
DDLLLLLLWL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.90
1.60
Conceded
2.00
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

2.10
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
3.20N=10
5.60
Against
8.40
10.10
Total
11.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.90
1.60
Goals conceded
2.00
3.30
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.70goals per match
Bournemouth conceded2.00
Matchup

Bournemouth attack

0.90goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.50
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.70
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
5.60
Corners against
8.40
10.10
Match total
11.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.20
Match total
2.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
9.40N=10
21.70
Match total
19.60

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
7.80N=10
5.00
On target
3.50
14%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches391
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.8%58.3%+2.5 pp
Draw24.9%23.0%-1.9 pp
Away19.2%18.7%-0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.1%
BTTS50.6%

Historical average

1.740.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.8%
2-012.3%
2-110.2%
1-19.7%
0-07.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.004.00
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=391.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.5%
Over 9.553.5%
Over 10.540.7%
Over 11.532.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches119
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT48.7%39.9%–57.6% CI
Draw FT34.5%26.5%–43.4% CI
Away FT16.8%11.2%–24.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.6%
2+ goals37.0%
3+ goals9.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home59.7%
Away31.9%