Premier League · 2022/23
2023-03-17 · 20:00
15.5817.2%
X3.8325.1%
21.6757.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nott'm Forest
LDWDWDWWDD
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Newcastle
LWDWWWDDDL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.50
1.00
Conceded
0.80
30%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.30
1.30
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

1.60N=10
For
5.60N=10
5.50
Against
5.70
7.10
Total
11.30
Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.50
1.00
Goals conceded
0.80
2.40
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Nott'm Forest attack

1.40goals per match
Newcastle conceded0.80
Matchup

Newcastle attack

1.50goals per match
Nott'm Forest conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.10
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
1.60N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
5.50
Corners against
5.70
7.10
Match total
11.30
30%3/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
0%0/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.60
Match total
4.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
24.40
Match total
19.70

Shots

9.80N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
3.90
On target
4.50
14%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches78
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.2%14.1%-3.1 pp
Draw25.1%21.8%-3.3 pp
Away57.6%64.1%+6.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.526.9%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

0.811.71

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-119.2%
0-212.8%
1-211.5%
1-310.3%
0-09.0%

Comparable corner averages

3.715.55
Average total9.26

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=78.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.8%
Over 9.542.3%
Over 10.530.8%
Over 11.520.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT12.5%4.3%–31.0% CI
Draw FT33.3%18.0%–53.3% CI
Away FT54.2%35.1%–72.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.08

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.8%
2+ goals29.2%
3+ goals8.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home20.8%
Away62.5%