Premier League · 2022/23
2023-03-17 · 20:00
15.5817.2%
X3.8325.1%
21.6757.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Nott'm Forest
LDWDWDWWDD
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Newcastle
LWDWWWDDDL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.50
1.00
Conceded
0.80
30%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.30
1.30
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
1.60N=10
For
5.60N=10
5.50
Against
5.70
7.10
Total
11.30
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.50
1.00
Goals conceded
0.80
2.40
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Nott'm Forest attack
1.40goals per matchNewcastle conceded0.80Matchup
Newcastle attack
1.50goals per matchNott'm Forest conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.10
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
1.60N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
5.50
Corners against
5.70
7.10
Match total
11.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.60
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.00N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
24.40
Match total
19.70
Shots
9.80N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
3.90
On target
4.50
14%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches78
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.2%14.1%-3.1 pp
Draw25.1%21.8%-3.3 pp
Away57.6%64.1%+6.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.526.9%
BTTS50.0%
Historical average
0.81–1.71
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-119.2%
0-212.8%
1-211.5%
1-310.3%
0-09.0%
Comparable corner averages
3.71–5.55
Average total9.26
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=78.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.8%
Over 9.542.3%
Over 10.530.8%
Over 11.520.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT12.5%4.3%–31.0% CI
Draw FT33.3%18.0%–53.3% CI
Away FT54.2%35.1%–72.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.08
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.8%
2+ goals29.2%
3+ goals8.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home20.8%
Away62.5%