Premier League · 2022/23
2023-03-15 · 19:30
12.9732.2%
X3.3128.9%
22.4638.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Southampton
WLDDLLLLLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Brentford
DDLLDWWDDL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.90
1.60
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.10
Against
6.20
9.40
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.90
1.60
Goals conceded
1.50
2.50
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Southampton attack

0.90goals per match
Brentford conceded1.50
Matchup

Brentford attack

0.90goals per match
Southampton conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.10
Corners against
6.20
9.40
Match total
10.80
40%4/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.30
Match total
2.60
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
21.90
Match total
20.80

Shots

12.50N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
4.50
On target
3.50
7%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches356
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.2%27.8%-4.4 pp
Draw28.9%25.0%-3.9 pp
Away38.9%47.2%+8.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.522.2%
BTTS49.7%

Historical average

1.031.37

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-114.9%
1-113.5%
1-29.8%
1-09.3%
0-07.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.855.26
Average total10.12

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=356.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.3%
Over 9.553.1%
Over 10.542.7%
Over 11.530.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches121
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.8%22.3%–38.4% CI
Draw FT33.1%25.3%–41.8% CI
Away FT37.2%29.1%–46.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals35.5%
3+ goals10.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.5%
Away49.6%