Premier League · 2022/23
2023-03-15 · 19:30
12.9732.2%
X3.3128.9%
22.4638.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Southampton
WLDDLLLLLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Brentford
DDLLDWWDDL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
0.90
1.60
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.20
1.40
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.10
Against
6.20
9.40
Total
10.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.90
1.60
Goals conceded
1.50
2.50
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Southampton attack
0.90goals per matchBrentford conceded1.50Matchup
Brentford attack
0.90goals per matchSouthampton conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.10
Corners against
6.20
9.40
Match total
10.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.30
Match total
2.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.70N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
21.90
Match total
20.80
Shots
12.50N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
4.50
On target
3.50
7%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches356
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.2%27.8%-4.4 pp
Draw28.9%25.0%-3.9 pp
Away38.9%47.2%+8.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.522.2%
BTTS49.7%
Historical average
1.03–1.37
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-114.9%
1-113.5%
1-29.8%
1-09.3%
0-07.9%
Comparable corner averages
4.85–5.26
Average total10.12
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=356.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.3%
Over 9.553.1%
Over 10.542.7%
Over 11.530.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches121
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.8%22.3%–38.4% CI
Draw FT33.1%25.3%–41.8% CI
Away FT37.2%29.1%–46.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.29
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals35.5%
3+ goals10.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home45.5%
Away49.6%