Premier League · 2022/23
2023-03-15 · 19:30
11.4665.7%
X4.4421.6%
27.5812.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brighton
WLDWLLWWLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Crystal Palace
DDLWLWLLDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
0.60
1.10
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.70
1.80
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

8.20N=10
For
5.00N=10
2.80
Against
5.00
11.00
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.60
1.10
Goals conceded
1.00
3.10
Total goals
1.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Brighton attack

2.00goals per match
Crystal Palace conceded1.00
Matchup

Crystal Palace attack

0.60goals per match
Brighton conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.20N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
2.80
Corners against
5.00
11.00
Match total
10.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.30
Match total
4.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.20N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
21.00
Match total
25.50

Shots

16.80N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
6.90
On target
3.60
12%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches76
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.7%80.3%+14.5 pp
Draw21.6%11.8%-9.8 pp
Away12.7%7.9%-4.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.523.7%
BTTS42.1%

Historical average

2.110.59

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-019.7%
1-017.1%
2-113.2%
3-010.5%
1-17.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.453.34
Average total9.79

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=76.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.5%
Over 9.551.3%
Over 10.539.5%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT76.0%56.6%–88.5% CI
Draw FT12.0%4.2%–30.0% CI
Away FT12.0%4.2%–30.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.80

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal96.0%
2+ goals52.0%
3+ goals28.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home88.0%
Away36.0%