Premier League · 2022/23
2023-03-12 · 14:00
12.2343.0%
X3.3728.5%
23.3628.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

West Ham
DWWWLLLWDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Aston Villa
LDDLLWWWLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.00
0.90
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
3.70N=10
3.80
Against
5.60
8.90
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded
1.40
2.50
Total goals
2.40
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

West Ham attack

1.60goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.40
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.00goals per match
West Ham conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.60
8.90
Match total
9.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.60N=10
2.80
Match total
4.50
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.00N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
16.50
Match total
26.40

Shots

15.10N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
4.50
On target
3.60
11%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches856
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.0%41.1%-1.9 pp
Draw28.5%30.1%+1.7 pp
Away28.5%28.7%+0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.525.9%
BTTS53.7%

Historical average

1.421.16

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.9%
2-110.6%
1-09.8%
0-09.2%
0-18.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.384.41
Average total9.79

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=856.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.2%
Over 9.551.3%
Over 10.538.6%
Over 11.528.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches272
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT33.1%27.8%–38.9% CI
Draw FT41.5%35.8%–47.5% CI
Away FT25.4%20.6%–30.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.0%
2+ goals33.5%
3+ goals11.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.3%
Away42.3%