Premier League · 2022/23
2023-03-12 · 14:00
11.3471.4%
X5.2618.2%
29.2210.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man United
WDWWWWWWDW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Southampton
LLWLLLWLWL
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
0.60
0.50
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.40
1.80
2H goals
0.80
80%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.40
Against
6.70
10.60
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
0.60
0.50
Goals conceded
1.60
2.60
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Man United attack

2.10goals per match
Southampton conceded1.60
Matchup

Southampton attack

0.60goals per match
Man United conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.10
1H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
2.70N=10
5.40
Corners against
6.70
10.60
Match total
9.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
0%0/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.40
Match total
3.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
19.30
Match total
23.40

Shots

17.60N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
5.90
On target
3.40
12%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches158
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home71.4%74.7%+3.3 pp
Draw18.2%17.1%-1.1 pp
Away10.4%8.2%-2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.530.4%
BTTS45.6%

Historical average

2.220.67

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.8%
2-113.3%
2-012.7%
1-18.9%
3-06.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.933.46
Average total10.39

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=158.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.4%
Over 9.557.6%
Over 10.546.2%
Over 11.535.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches45
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT64.4%49.8%–76.8% CI
Draw FT31.1%19.5%–45.7% CI
Away FT4.4%1.2%–14.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.8%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals8.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home73.3%
Away20.0%