Premier League · 2022/23
2023-03-12 · 14:00
15.7416.7%
X4.1723.0%
21.5960.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fulham
LDWDLWWLWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Arsenal
WWDWWWWLWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.90
1.20
Conceded
0.60
60%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
4.90N=10
5.40
Against
4.80
11.30
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.90
1.20
Goals conceded
0.60
2.60
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Fulham attack

1.40goals per match
Arsenal conceded0.60
Matchup

Arsenal attack

1.90goals per match
Fulham conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.90
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
5.40
Corners against
4.80
11.30
Match total
9.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.70N=10
2.60
Match total
4.00
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.90N=10
Committed
9.50N=10
21.60
Match total
21.40

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
13.50N=10
4.40
On target
4.20
11%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches83
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.7%8.4%-8.3 pp
Draw23.0%22.9%-0.1 pp
Away60.3%68.7%+8.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.530.1%
BTTS54.2%

Historical average

0.761.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-119.3%
1-216.9%
1-112.0%
1-37.2%
0-26.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.136.17
Average total10.30

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=83.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.7%
Over 9.561.4%
Over 10.544.6%
Over 11.534.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches33
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT9.1%3.1%–23.6% CI
Draw FT24.2%12.8%–41.0% CI
Away FT66.7%49.6%–80.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.9%
2+ goals39.4%
3+ goals15.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.3%
Away78.8%