Premier League · 2022/23
2023-03-11 · 15:00
11.4466.5%
X4.6220.7%
27.5212.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Tottenham
WWLLWLLWWW
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM
Nott'm Forest
LLLDLLWDLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
0.20
1.30
Conceded
2.60
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
10%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.20
1.80
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.70
Against
7.40
9.10
Total
11.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.20
1.30
Goals conceded
2.60
3.20
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Tottenham attack
1.90goals per matchNott'm Forest conceded2.60Matchup
Nott'm Forest attack
0.20goals per matchTottenham conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.10
1.00
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.50
2H goals scored
0.10
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.70
Corners against
7.40
9.10
Match total
11.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.20
Match total
2.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.70N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
22.90
Match total
21.00
Shots
14.10N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
5.70
On target
2.10
13%
Conversion
2%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches129
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home66.5%75.2%+8.7 pp
Draw20.7%14.7%-6.0 pp
Away12.7%10.1%-2.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.524.0%
BTTS37.2%
Historical average
2.05–0.58
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-021.7%
2-114.0%
1-014.0%
3-08.5%
0-17.0%
Comparable corner averages
6.55–3.22
Average total9.77
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=129.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.9%
Over 9.551.9%
Over 10.538.0%
Over 11.527.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches36
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT75.0%58.9%–86.2% CI
Draw FT16.7%7.9%–31.9% CI
Away FT8.3%2.9%–21.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.72
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal91.7%
2+ goals47.2%
3+ goals22.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home83.3%
Away25.0%