Premier League · 2022/23
2023-03-11 · 15:00
13.8325.1%
X3.5627.0%
22.0048.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leicester
LWDWLLLDWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Chelsea
WWDLLDLDDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.80
1.00
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
30%
20%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.00
0.60
2H goals
1.00
50%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
3.90N=10
5.70
Against
5.10
9.50
Total
9.00
Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.80
1.00
Goals conceded
1.20
2.20
Total goals
2.00
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
20%2/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Leicester attack

1.20goals per match
Chelsea conceded1.20
Matchup

Chelsea attack

0.80goals per match
Leicester conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.40
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
5.70
Corners against
5.10
9.50
Match total
9.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.40
Match total
3.70
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
22.10
Match total
23.10

Shots

10.40N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
3.70
On target
4.10
12%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches258
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.1%24.0%-1.0 pp
Draw27.0%27.9%+0.9 pp
Away48.0%48.1%+0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.526.0%
BTTS52.3%

Historical average

1.061.59

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.2%
0-111.6%
1-210.1%
0-28.5%
2-17.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.485.34
Average total9.83

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=258.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.7%
Over 9.550.4%
Over 10.538.4%
Over 11.527.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches66
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.7%11.9%–30.8% CI
Draw FT39.4%28.5%–51.5% CI
Away FT40.9%29.9%–53.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.18

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals34.8%
3+ goals10.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.3%
Away57.6%