Premier League · 2022/23
2023-03-11 · 15:00
13.8425.0%
X3.6726.2%
21.9748.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leeds
DDLLWLDDLW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Brighton
WLDLLWWWDD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
2.00
1.50
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.60
1.60
2H goals
2.10
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
4.80N=10
3.70
Against
4.50
10.00
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
2.00
1.50
Goals conceded
1.70
2.60
Total goals
3.70
60%6/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Leeds attack

1.10goals per match
Brighton conceded1.70
Matchup

Brighton attack

2.00goals per match
Leeds conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.90
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.10
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
3.70
Corners against
4.50
10.00
Match total
9.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.10N=10
4.20
Match total
3.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
25.40
Match total
21.10

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
4.10
On target
5.20
8%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches225
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.0%24.0%-1.0 pp
Draw26.2%25.8%-0.4 pp
Away48.8%50.2%+1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.528.4%
BTTS51.1%

Historical average

1.031.60

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-112.4%
0-010.7%
1-110.2%
0-29.3%
1-28.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.645.40
Average total10.04

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=225.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.6%
Over 9.556.4%
Over 10.540.4%
Over 11.530.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches77
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.6%9.1%–25.3% CI
Draw FT42.9%32.4%–54.0% CI
Away FT41.6%31.2%–52.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.8%
2+ goals39.0%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home36.4%
Away55.8%