Premier League · 2022/23
2023-03-11 · 15:00
13.8425.0%
X3.6726.2%
21.9748.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Leeds
DDLLWLDDLW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Brighton
WLDLLWWWDD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
2.00
1.50
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.60
1.60
2H goals
2.10
70%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
6.30N=10
For
4.80N=10
3.70
Against
4.50
10.00
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
2.00
1.50
Goals conceded
1.70
2.60
Total goals
3.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Leeds attack
1.10goals per matchBrighton conceded1.70Matchup
Brighton attack
2.00goals per matchLeeds conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.90
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
1.10
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
3.70
Corners against
4.50
10.00
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
1.10N=10
4.20
Match total
3.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.80N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
25.40
Match total
21.10
Shots
13.30N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
4.10
On target
5.20
8%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches225
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.0%24.0%-1.0 pp
Draw26.2%25.8%-0.4 pp
Away48.8%50.2%+1.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.528.4%
BTTS51.1%
Historical average
1.03–1.60
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-112.4%
0-010.7%
1-110.2%
0-29.3%
1-28.4%
Comparable corner averages
4.64–5.40
Average total10.04
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=225.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.6%
Over 9.556.4%
Over 10.540.4%
Over 11.530.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches77
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.6%9.1%–25.3% CI
Draw FT42.9%32.4%–54.0% CI
Away FT41.6%31.2%–52.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.26
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.8%
2+ goals39.0%
3+ goals14.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home36.4%
Away55.8%