Premier League · 2022/23
2023-03-11 · 15:00
12.7135.4%
X3.2029.9%
22.7634.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Everton
WLWLLLLWWL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM
Brentford
LDDLLDWWDD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.10
1.40
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.40
1.50
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.30
Against
6.30
9.50
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.10
1.40
Goals conceded
1.70
2.40
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Everton attack

1.00goals per match
Brentford conceded1.70
Matchup

Brentford attack

1.10goals per match
Everton conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.30
Corners against
6.30
9.50
Match total
10.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.10
Match total
2.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.70N=10
Committed
9.50N=10
21.70
Match total
20.50

Shots

11.50N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
4.10
On target
3.60
9%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches701
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.4%33.2%-2.1 pp
Draw29.9%35.2%+5.3 pp
Away34.7%31.5%-3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.521.0%
BTTS50.8%

Historical average

1.161.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.7%
0-012.7%
1-010.0%
0-19.6%
2-19.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.934.78
Average total9.71

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=700.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.3%
Over 9.551.0%
Over 10.538.3%
Over 11.527.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches262
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.9%22.8%–33.6% CI
Draw FT47.3%41.4%–53.4% CI
Away FT24.8%20.0%–30.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.14

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.0%
2+ goals32.8%
3+ goals12.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.9%
Away44.3%