Premier League · 2022/23
2023-03-11 · 12:30
17.0713.6%
X4.9519.4%
21.4367.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bournemouth
DDWLLWLDDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Liverpool
DLLWWLLLWD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.00
1.30
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.00
2H goals
1.20
50%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.20N=10
For
5.90N=10
6.70
Against
4.20
10.90
Total
10.10
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded
1.50
2.30
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bournemouth attack
1.00goals per matchLiverpool conceded1.50Matchup
Liverpool attack
1.00goals per matchBournemouth conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
6.70
Corners against
4.20
10.90
Match total
10.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.50
Match total
2.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.60N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
20.70
Match total
18.70
Shots
10.50N=10
Shots
14.40N=10
3.60
On target
5.60
10%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches87
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home13.6%12.6%-0.9 pp
Draw19.4%17.2%-2.1 pp
Away67.1%70.1%+3.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.560.9%
Over 3.535.6%
BTTS52.9%
Historical average
0.89–2.13
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-116.1%
1-213.8%
0-210.3%
0-35.7%
1-45.7%
Comparable corner averages
3.41–6.84
Average total10.25
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=87.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.556.3%
Over 10.546.0%
Over 11.534.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT4.5%0.8%–21.8% CI
Draw FT27.3%13.2%–48.2% CI
Away FT68.2%47.3%–83.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.59
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals22.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home27.3%
Away77.3%