Premier League · 2022/23
2023-03-11 · 12:30
17.0713.6%
X4.9519.4%
21.4367.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bournemouth
DDWLLWLDDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Liverpool
DLLWWLLLWD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.00
1.30
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.30
1.00
2H goals
1.20
50%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
5.90N=10
6.70
Against
4.20
10.90
Total
10.10
Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.00
1.30
Goals conceded
1.50
2.30
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Bournemouth attack

1.00goals per match
Liverpool conceded1.50
Matchup

Liverpool attack

1.00goals per match
Bournemouth conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
6.70
Corners against
4.20
10.90
Match total
10.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.50
Match total
2.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
20.70
Match total
18.70

Shots

10.50N=10
Shots
14.40N=10
3.60
On target
5.60
10%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches87
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home13.6%12.6%-0.9 pp
Draw19.4%17.2%-2.1 pp
Away67.1%70.1%+3.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.560.9%
Over 3.535.6%
BTTS52.9%

Historical average

0.892.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-116.1%
1-213.8%
0-210.3%
0-35.7%
1-45.7%

Comparable corner averages

3.416.84
Average total10.25

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=87.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.556.3%
Over 10.546.0%
Over 11.534.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT4.5%0.8%–21.8% CI
Draw FT27.3%13.2%–48.2% CI
Away FT68.2%47.3%–83.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.59

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals22.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home27.3%
Away77.3%