Premier League · 2022/23
2023-03-06 · 20:00
12.0047.9%
X3.6526.3%
23.7125.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Brentford
WLWDDDWWWD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Fulham
LWLWLWWLDW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
1.40
1.00
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.00
1.70
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.70N=10
For
4.10N=10
5.50
Against
6.10
9.20
Total
10.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.40
1.00
Goals conceded
1.20
2.90
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Brentford attack
1.90goals per matchFulham conceded1.20Matchup
Fulham attack
1.40goals per matchBrentford conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.90
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
5.50
Corners against
6.10
9.20
Match total
10.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
3.40N=10
3.30
Match total
4.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.80N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
19.00
Match total
21.30
Shots
10.30N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
4.60
On target
3.80
18%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches478
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.9%45.0%-2.9 pp
Draw26.3%29.3%+3.0 pp
Away25.8%25.7%-0.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.526.4%
BTTS52.3%
Historical average
1.54–1.06
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.2%
1-010.3%
0-08.8%
2-18.6%
1-27.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.65–4.39
Average total10.04
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=478.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.7%
Over 9.554.8%
Over 10.543.9%
Over 11.531.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches153
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT32.0%25.2%–39.8% CI
Draw FT41.8%34.3%–49.8% CI
Away FT26.1%19.8%–33.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.37
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.5%
2+ goals41.8%
3+ goals17.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home51.0%
Away47.7%