Premier League · 2022/23
2023-03-05 · 16:30
12.4040.1%
X3.6826.1%
22.8533.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Liverpool
WDWWLWWDWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Man United
WLWDLWWDLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.60
0.80
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.50
1.00
2H goals
1.70
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.20N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.10
Against
5.90
10.30
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.60
0.80
Goals conceded
1.60
2.50
Total goals
3.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Liverpool attack

1.70goals per match
Man United conceded1.60
Matchup

Man United attack

1.60goals per match
Liverpool conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.90
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.20N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.10
Corners against
5.90
10.30
Match total
9.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
2.30N=10
2.50
Match total
3.60
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.90N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
20.20
Match total
19.00

Shots

17.60N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
5.90
On target
5.10
10%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches130
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.1%30.0%-10.1 pp
Draw26.1%26.2%+0.0 pp
Away33.8%43.8%+10.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.556.2%
Over 3.535.4%
BTTS55.4%

Historical average

1.331.56

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-210.8%
1-110.0%
1-210.0%
0-09.2%
1-06.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.944.87
Average total9.81

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=130.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.6%
Over 9.552.3%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.527.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches37
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.0%15.4%–43.0% CI
Draw FT43.2%28.7%–59.1% CI
Away FT29.7%17.5%–45.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.46

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.6%
2+ goals43.2%
3+ goals21.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.2%
Away45.9%