Premier League · 2022/23
2023-03-05 · 14:00
12.6835.9%
X3.0831.2%
22.9232.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Nott'm Forest
LLDWDWDWWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Everton
DWLLDLDLLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
0.40
1.10
Conceded
1.70
30%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.00
1.50
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
1.70N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.80
Against
6.70
7.50
Total
10.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.40
1.10
Goals conceded
1.70
2.50
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Nott'm Forest attack
1.40goals per matchEverton conceded1.70Matchup
Everton attack
0.40goals per matchNott'm Forest conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.10
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
1.70N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
5.80
Corners against
6.70
7.50
Match total
10.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.10
Match total
4.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.20N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
23.90
Match total
20.70
Shots
9.90N=10
Shots
6.90N=10
3.80
On target
2.30
14%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches440
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.9%30.9%-5.0 pp
Draw31.2%36.1%+4.9 pp
Away32.9%33.0%+0.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.562.5%
Over 2.537.0%
Over 3.515.7%
BTTS48.6%
Historical average
1.02–1.07
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.9%
0-014.5%
1-012.0%
0-110.9%
2-19.1%
Comparable corner averages
4.74–4.46
Average total9.20
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=440.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.4%
Over 9.547.7%
Over 10.533.6%
Over 11.521.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches179
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.5%22.4%–35.5% CI
Draw FT46.9%39.8%–54.2% CI
Away FT24.6%18.9%–31.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.07
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal64.2%
2+ goals29.6%
3+ goals10.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home45.3%
Away39.7%