Premier League · 2022/23
2023-03-05 · 14:00
12.6835.9%
X3.0831.2%
22.9232.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nott'm Forest
LLDWDWDWWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Everton
DWLLDLDLLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.40
1.10
Conceded
1.70
30%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.00
1.50
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

1.70N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.80
Against
6.70
7.50
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.40
1.10
Goals conceded
1.70
2.50
Total goals
2.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Nott'm Forest attack

1.40goals per match
Everton conceded1.70
Matchup

Everton attack

0.40goals per match
Nott'm Forest conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.10
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
1.70N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
5.80
Corners against
6.70
7.50
Match total
10.10
40%4/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
0%0/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.10
Match total
4.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
23.90
Match total
20.70

Shots

9.90N=10
Shots
6.90N=10
3.80
On target
2.30
14%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches440
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.9%30.9%-5.0 pp
Draw31.2%36.1%+4.9 pp
Away32.9%33.0%+0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.562.5%
Over 2.537.0%
Over 3.515.7%
BTTS48.6%

Historical average

1.021.07

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.9%
0-014.5%
1-012.0%
0-110.9%
2-19.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.744.46
Average total9.20

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=440.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.4%
Over 9.547.7%
Over 10.533.6%
Over 11.521.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches179
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.5%22.4%–35.5% CI
Draw FT46.9%39.8%–54.2% CI
Away FT24.6%18.9%–31.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.07

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.2%
2+ goals29.6%
3+ goals10.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.3%
Away39.7%