Premier League · 2022/23
2023-03-04 · 17:30
12.7734.6%
X3.3129.0%
22.6436.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Southampton
LWLDDLLLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Leicester
LLLWWWLLWL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.80
1.70
Conceded
2.20
50%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
2.20
1.50
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.00
Against
7.10
9.50
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.80
1.70
Goals conceded
2.20
2.50
Total goals
4.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Southampton attack

0.80goals per match
Leicester conceded2.20
Matchup

Leicester attack

1.80goals per match
Southampton conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
4.00
Corners against
7.10
9.50
Match total
10.10
40%4/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.00
Match total
2.30
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
21.40
Match total
19.40

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
4.50
On target
4.50
6%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches633
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.6%30.0%-4.6 pp
Draw29.0%28.6%-0.4 pp
Away36.4%41.4%+5.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.544.9%
Over 3.522.3%
BTTS50.7%

Historical average

1.121.31

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.2%
0-113.9%
1-09.0%
0-07.9%
1-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.064.91
Average total9.97

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=633.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.552.8%
Over 10.540.6%
Over 11.529.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches215
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT25.6%20.2%–31.8% CI
Draw FT37.2%31.0%–43.8% CI
Away FT37.2%31.0%–43.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.7%
2+ goals39.5%
3+ goals15.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.7%
Away57.7%